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Naugur is a global prediction market platform for trading real-world outcomes across sports, politics, finance, and culture. Market prices reflect probability estimates derived from market activity and external event data. Trading involves risk. Jurisdictional restrictions apply. See our Terms of Service, Privacy Policy, and Risk Disclosure.

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Political markets
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Politics

Elections190AppointmentsLegislationPolls & approval10Treaties & diplomacyOther

Elections

190 markets
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Presidential, midterm, parliamentary, and primary race outcomes.

Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
electionsrace:pm-global-next-prime-minister-of-romania-732polymarketpm-event:452161
YES
50¢
Volume
$200
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
electionsrace:pm-global-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopiapolymarketpm-event:411239
YES
1¢
Volume
$1,005
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
electionsrace:pm-global-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopiapolymarketpm-event:411239
YES
1¢
Volume
$1,005
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
electionsrace:pm-global-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopiapolymarketpm-event:411239
YES
1¢
Volume
$1,005

Polls & approval

10 markets
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Approval ratings, polling-share predictions, electoral-college maps.

Will Donald Trump post 200+ times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
Will Donald Trump post 200+ times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
pollsusrace:trump-truths-2026-09-21social-media
YES
2.1¢
Volume
$10.8K
Will Donald Trump post 150-199 times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
Will Donald Trump post 150-199 times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
pollsusrace:trump-truths-2026-09-21social-media
YES
7.3¢
Volume
$6,005
Will Donald Trump post 100-149 times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
Will Donald Trump post 100-149 times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
pollsusrace:trump-truths-2026-09-21social-media
YES
17.8¢
Volume
$4,082
Will Donald Trump post 50-99 times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
Will Donald Trump post 50-99 times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
pollsusrace:trump-truths-2026-09-21social-media
YES
26.8¢
Volume
$3,522